Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 47.713147 53.669926 59.879052 66.816937 74.335271 82.219349 91.094604
2024-10-27 36.481887 44.850034 54.130875 65.109843 77.663645 91.492279 107.796749
2024-11-03 32.375750 42.250778 53.659831 67.656212 84.200001 102.970250 125.708289
2024-11-10 28.767527 39.598159 52.569586 68.987336 88.941328 112.138117 140.860500
2024-11-17 25.300290 36.629249 50.661191 68.935271 91.706881 118.752642 152.883597
2024-11-24 23.588038 35.642176 50.997904 71.469667 97.498879 128.945108 169.226435
2024-12-01 21.086796 33.337659 49.409621 71.357944 99.839310 134.839018 180.338932
2024-12-08 18.642488 30.856486 47.358800 70.434361 100.975715 139.123252 189.413142
2024-12-15 16.845330 29.103040 46.120891 70.434035 103.187270 144.691404 200.080258
2024-12-22 15.268102 27.513538 44.969650 70.426645 105.297906 150.084771 210.535915
2024-12-29 14.676749 27.342418 45.774276 73.083142 110.969707 160.126246 227.041351
2025-01-05 13.630171 26.367770 45.338812 73.943743 114.185366 166.977627 239.504375
2025-01-12 12.544981 25.267703 44.687537 74.510591 117.074565 173.549180 251.862543
2025-01-19 10.950838 23.184384 42.425562 72.631901 116.486189 175.452249 258.115935
2025-01-26 10.607821 23.180357 43.330249 75.397188 122.442697 186.212929 276.200931
2025-02-02 9.997633 22.650786 43.366039 76.838925 126.520360 194.465585 291.037775
2025-02-09 9.129446 21.573796 42.453493 76.782632 128.406126 199.714107 301.881108
2025-02-16 8.886429 21.624704 43.362419 79.527454 134.394762 210.691898 320.593623
2025-02-23 8.125199 20.620581 42.461792 79.406500 136.149916 215.788112 331.349382
2025-03-02 7.281142 19.365119 41.053390 78.406425 136.540681 218.939451 339.443795
2025-03-09 6.677526 18.527374 40.303140 78.406073 138.394405 224.149201 350.406446
2025-03-16 6.124372 17.734142 39.576779 78.398070 140.208237 229.300736 361.324284
2025-03-23 6.029770 17.915528 40.593809 81.273884 146.472117 240.902580 381.364119